Even if you don’t know sports betting, you’ve probably heard of bad beats. Most people who have suffered a bad beat will go on and on about how they got screwed by some walk-on draining an otherwise meaningless 3-pointer at the end of a game or a bad call by a ref.
The term bad beat is used in both poker and sports betting when something unlucky costs you a win. It broadly means you had a hand that was very likely to win in the poker sense until the other player got one of the few cards they needed to win the hand. In sports betting, it is supposed to be when something unexpected or wild changes the outcome of a bet after it seemed assured the bet would win.
That may not stop your friend from claiming most of the bets they lost were a bad beat.
In college basketball, it’s common for walk-ons to enter games late when the outcome is decided. If you bet on the spread, the outcome of that may not be decided even if the winner of the game is. Your fate could be decided by the whims of the walk-ons shooting or running out the clock. If a player averaging less than two minutes per game sinks a three to bust your cover with no time left instead of running out the clock, that doesn’t feel good. It’s a bad beat. It’s also not the worst type of bad beat. If the bet was that close, to begin with, it was always going to come down to the last possession.
Point spreads in basketball and football are susceptible to somewhat bad beats because there may be scoring at the end of a game that neither team cares all that much about if the game is otherwise decided. In hockey, an empty-net goal often decides the fate of a puckline bet, but those rarely rise to the level of a true bad beat. So let’s have some fun with a few wild examples of truly bad beats that the losing bettors will be talking about for years.
Washington Football Team +6.5 vs. Philadelphia Eagles, Dec. 15, 2019
Philadelphia led 31-27 with six seconds left, and Washington had the ball inside the 45-yard-line of Philadelphia. However, Washington is covering, and Philadelphia doesn’t have the ball. Then this happened:
The @Eagles defense seals the WIN! #PHIvsWAS #FlyEaglesFly pic.twitter.com/c59VBBx15i
— NFL (@NFL) December 15, 2019
The defensive touchdown made the final score 37-27 Eagles, giving Philly the cover and left bettors on the other side in disbelief. A simple fumble recovery would have sealed the game for the Eagles and allowed Washington to cover still. But no, Nigel Bradham wanted to score a touchdown. Who could blame him? Defensive players so rarely get to score NFL touchdowns. This one goes in the bad beat hall of fame and also qualifies as a backdoor cover.
Oakland A’s vs. Houston Astros under 7 total runs, April 24, 2015
Dallas Keuchel vs. Scott Kazmir was a premier pitching matchup in 2015. Betting the under is a bet on those two doing their thing.
In this game, they did their thing. Keuchel pitched nine scoreless innings, and Kazmir didn’t give up a run in seven innings. All is going according to plan. You couldn’t have been more right about your prediction.
The game even goes to extra innings scoreless. Of course, extra innings isn’t good for unders, but you’ve got six runs of cushion to work with. So it shouldn’t be a problem.
The Astros scored two in the top of the 10th to take the lead. Great, get three outs, and the under wins. So even a 3-2 or 4-2 A’s win is fine. Then Oakland matches with two more, and the game goes on. The under is still alive with two runs to work with, but it’s getting tight.
Houston scored three more in the top of the 11th to take a 5-2 lead and bust the under. At least a push is still alive if the Astros close the game without giving up a run. But no, Oakland scores two more before losing 5-4.
Under bettors were correct in their logic but weren’t rewarded. Ouch.
Colgate first half moneyline vs. Arkansas, March 19, 2021
This one from the NCAA men’s basketball tournament is a bit of a niche bet but painful nonetheless. Betting underdogs on the first half moneyline is not a common bet. No. 14 seed Colgate led No. 3 seed Arkansas by 14 points with less than four minutes left in the half. Anyone holding that ticket probably already had cashed that ticket in their heads. Arkansas responded with a 17-0 run to close the half, leading 36-33. A 17-0 run to end the half? That’s a rough, bad beat.
"bad" - Google News
May 11, 2021 at 03:41AM
https://ift.tt/2RGE7uj
What is a bad beat in sports betting? - The Athletic
"bad" - Google News
https://ift.tt/2SpwJRn
https://ift.tt/2z7gkKJ
No comments:
Post a Comment